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Western Conference foes match up on Tuesday night as the Golden State Warriors (11-10) and the Dallas Mavericks (9-10) battle. The Mavericks are in a huge slump, dropping four games in a row. On Sunday, Dallas lost to the Milwaukee Bucks 124-115. Meanwhile, Golden State is on a three-game win streak, including a 137-114 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves in its last game.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Arena in Dallas. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Warriors as a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds. The over/under for total points is set at 228. Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 106-70 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Mavericks vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Mavericks spread: Golden State -1.5
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks Over-Under: 228 points
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks money line: Golden State -125, Dallas +105
  • GS: Over is 4-0-1 in Warriors' last 5 games following an ATS win
  • DAL: Over is 9-1 in Mavericks' last 10 games following a straight-up loss
  • Warriors vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Stephen Curry continues to be dominant on the floor. Curry owns exceptional range with a lightning-quick release, and the eight-time All-Star breaks down the defense in a variety of ways to either score or set a teammate up. Curry is currently second in the league in scoring (31.4), 12th in assists (7.1), and fourth in PER (29.25). In Sunday's victory, he dropped 25 points, 11 rebounds, and eight assists.

Guard Klay Thompson started the season off slowly but has found his groove. Thompson is still a dynamic marksman from downtown with the shooting range to let it fly. The Washington State product also has good instincts with a knack for steals, and he's averaging 17.7 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game. Thompson has scored 20-plus in four of his last five games.

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic is an absolute stud and difference-maker who can impact the game in so many ways including scoring, playmaking, and rebounding. The three-time All-Star can be unstoppable one-on-one with an array of moves to get a bucket. Doncic ranks first in the NBA in points (33.1), fourth in assists (8.4), and first in PER (31.13). On Nov. 27, he racked up 27 points, five boards, and 12 dimes.

Center Christian Wood provides a solid scoring option off the bench. Wood is able to put the ball on the deck and attack his defender off the dribble. The UNLV product has excellent touch in the paint and is capable of spacing the floor. The 27-year-old averages 17.1 points and 7.6 rebounds per game, and on Nov. 23, he logged 26 points and 12 rebounds.

How to make Warriors vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 225 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.